Reidblog [The Reid Report blog]
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| Think at your own risk. |
| Saturday, April 30, 2005 |
| It was 30 years ago today... |
| ...that Saigon fell and the Vietnam war ended. America lost 58,000 soldiers, and lost Vietnam to the Communists. We also lost our innocence in a big way. I was a toddler when the war ended, and have no memory whatsoever of our being a nation at war during that time. But I do know a few Vietnam veterans, and how painful that period, and for many, their homecoming, was. This is a good time to remember that win or lose, war is hell. It's brutal and its harsh and it's soul-killing in many ways for the people who fight it, and the civilians who endure it. But the people who fight our wars are, after all, ours. They deserve our love and respect. Period. Whether you like the wars we fight or not, the fighting men and women deserve our thanks. So today, I'll just post one thing: thank you. |
posted by JReid @ 5:33 PM   |
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| Friday, April 29, 2005 |
| Enemy of the state |
Former Clinton advisor Sydney Blumenthal has a must-read piece in the Guardian regarding Collin Powell's backdoor campaign against his former deputy, John Bolton (plus Condi Rice's inability to shake the cover-up thing). Killer paras:
The Bolton confirmation hearings have revealed his constant efforts to undermine Powell on Iran and Iraq, Syria and North Korea. They have also exposed a most curious incident that has triggered the administration's stonewall reflex. The foreign relations committee has discovered that Bolton made a highly unusual request and gained access to 10 intercepts by the National Security Agency, which monitors worldwide communications, of conversations involving past and present government officials. Whose conversations did Bolton secretly secure and why? Staff members on the committee believe that Bolton was probably spying on Powell, his senior advisers and other officials reporting to him on diplomatic initiatives that Bolton opposed. If so, it is also possible that Bolton was sharing this top-secret information with his neoconservative allies within the Pentagon and the vice-president's office, with whom he was in daily contact and who were known to be working in league against Powell. If the intercepts are released they may disclose whether Bolton was a key figure in a counter-intelligence operation run inside the Bush administration against the secretary of state, who would resemble the hunted character played by Will Smith in Enemy of the State. Both Republican and Democratic senators have demanded that the state department, which holds the NSA intercepts, turn them over to the committee. But Rice so far has refused. What is she hiding by her cover-up?
Could the Bolton nomination be the thing that finally peels the lid off the neocon war cabal? If it is, then how ironic is it that the once untouchable president walked right into it, with the help of Dick Cheney...? |
posted by JReid @ 2:50 AM   |
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| Do we remember? |
| The Pentagon this week quietly released more than 300 pictures of honor guard ceremonies and flag-draped coffins of fallen soldiers from the Iraq, Afghanistan and other U.S. conflicts, including Korea and Vietnam. The release came after a lawsuit by the National Security Archives and other parties. You can get the full experience here, and needless to say, you should. We all should. |
posted by JReid @ 2:11 AM   |
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| Thus sayeth the Freepers: |
Interesting first post on the presidential newser tonight on the Free Republic. (Gotta love that name - WinchesterMagnumSniper - RNC to the core...) Note that Bush has now returned to his Rockefeller roots according to this poster, who I must say is not alone on these boards post-election. Still, I give this thread about five minutes before it's pulled.
Not One Mention of Illegal Immigration by Bushie or Press
Posted by WinchesterMagnumSniperOn 04/28/2005 9:08:18 PM PDT You'd think at least one "journalist" would have taken the opportunity tonite to embarrass Bushie and his band of Rockefeller liberals over the Minutemen's success and the government's failure to secure the Mexican border. When a dozen al-Qaeda infect themselves with small pox, cross the border and begin spreading it around at a Padres game, LAX and the MTA bus system, illegal immigration will be a bit tougher to ignore. Right now, Mexican illegals only cost the US economy $68 billion/year, according to a new study by Columbia University.
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posted by JReid @ 12:09 AM   |
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| Most likely to suck up |
...Okay, I have my answer on who'd be the most solicitous of Bush tonight. Wouldn't ya know it, with all the overly deferential questioners in the presser with Dubya, Matthews would go and grab the prize. Leave it to MSNBC to provide a post-op that feels as good as a gentle Mother's Day massage...
Matthews praised the president effusively for stiff-arming the James Dobson axis over judges and faith, pronounced himself positively proud of George for telling the truth about the POTUS not being able to lower gas prices, and seemed genuinely tickled by Bush's sparkly demeanor. Sheesh. If he was any more loving I'd have to start calling him Abdullah...
For his part, Russert serves up the standard issue Bushnalysis: not too harsh, try to sound tough. He breaks down the same points as Matthews, plus an extended riff on Bush's "sliding scale" Social Security plan, and how the Dems are going to attack it like starved, wild dogs on Friday.
TimRussert: First, it’s clear this president is deeply concerned about the energy problems in the country, particularly the high price of gasoline. He acknowledged there is no quick fix, and it is having an effect on consumer confidence and job creation and the economy. Secondly, on his plan laying out for Social Security — he called it a “sliding scale” in terms of benefits. Look for the Democrats to say that that plan would cut benefits anywhere from 20 to 40 percent for the next two generations of recipients, and that will commence a very big battle on Capitol Hill. Third, his answer on faith and judicial opponents — it is a clear break from what many of his supporters said this past Sunday: that these nominees were blocked because of their belief in faith. He said that is not the case. He thinks they are blocked because of the strict constructionists. That will cause unease amongst some Christian activists in the Republican Party.
I'd tell you what they had to sa on CNN, but I just couldn't stomach even five minutes of Bush gagaism from Paula Zahn. |
posted by JReid @ 12:00 AM   |
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| Thursday, April 28, 2005 |
| If I could talk with President Bush for 15 minutes... |
Gallup asked 1,003 people that question, and surprise! A small majority said something on the order of "get out of Iraq."
Personally, I'd use my 15 minutes to try and figure out if Mr. Bush is for real about his new neoconservative/theocratic ideology, or if it's just politics ... and to get all the dirt on Bush's Crawford snogfest with Crown Prince Abdullah... Cmon, Dubya, the stroll through the blue bonnets, the "Splash Day" references, the refusal to go whole hog on the gay marriage amendment ... you're so giving me Clay Aiken, man! |
posted by JReid @ 1:14 PM   |
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| Desperate times... |
| President Bush goes on television live! at 8:30 tonight for a rare press conference to try and stanch the bleeding from his various initiatives, from Social Security to energy policy. Hm. Wonder who'll ask the most obsequious, kiss-ass question this evening? David Gregory? Somebody from Fox? CNN and the Associated Press have been sucking up the administration pretty aggressivelylately, maybe on of their guys will have a go (unless it's John King...) I guess it's anybody's guess. |
posted by JReid @ 11:04 AM   |
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| Wednesday, April 27, 2005 |
| "Idolspiracy?" |
Is there a conspiracy to wreck "American Idol?" I know, I know, it's not important in a "global war on terror" sense of the word, but you've got to admit, Constantine Maroulis getting the boot and thug-wannabe near felong Scott Savol surviving week after week is pretty "2000 election," isn't it?
Well you know what that means: time for the conspiracy theories...
A site called "vote for the worst" is inviting its members to tork the A.I. voting by voting for "the worst the show has to offer," and this year, it's Scott Savol. Scuttle is college students all over the U.S. are jumping on the V4TW bandwagon. The ultimate test of the conspiracy: if the "voters" manage to choose this lout as America's musical idol (apparently with the enthusiastic support of Method Man -- rumored to be a Savol fan...)
As Drudge would say, "developing..."
Update: There's now an online petition making the rounds demanding a recount. And with ABC's expose coming up next week, you've got to wonder what's going on in the minds of "Idol" producers at Fox. How long can the show survive controversy, elimination of popular contestants, and Scott Savol's boorish thug act? I know it's just a TV show for goodness sakes, but it does say something about American culture when a show designed to be a search for a squeaky clean superstar devolves into a race to the bottom...
BTW, the moderators on the Idol message boards are furiously sanitizing history with an almost Bush administration-like efficiency. Posts containing the words "fixed", "boycott" or "Coke" last about 30 seconds... interesting... |
posted by JReid @ 11:18 PM   |
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| Tuesdays in the park with George |
 Sorry, but this Bush strolling through the Texas blue bonnets, holding hands with Prince Abdullah thing just won't quit. Wapo's Dan Froomkin has the rundown of reactions from the press, and from the good ole' boys.
CBS does too:
As CBS News Correspondent Jim Axelrod reports, while it clearly strikes a nerve, you get the feeling it goes beyond coziness with the Saudis or dependence on their oil. Asked what he makes of it, one man says, "I don't like it."
When it comes to two men holding hands, America's got issues. "I mean I'd love to meet the president, but I'm not going to walk around holding his hand," says XXXX. "I'm not that kind of guy, know what I'm saying. "I like girls. I don't like boys." Nevermind that Mr. Bush might actually get some points for it in the Middle East.
BTW, Jerry Srpinger on the radio this morning made it sound like this was Bush's first stab at male hand-locking with his Saudi pals. But if you check out Michael Moore's "Fahrenheit 911" you'll see it's par for the course. Maybe for their next meetup, Bush and Bandar should party it up at Texas Splash Day... |
posted by JReid @ 5:41 PM   |
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| The incredible, shrinking president |
Remember back in the day, when George W. Bush was God? The Freepers revered him, angrily running off any fool who dared to criticize the Commander in Chief on their boards, rather than glorify and pray for him. (There really was a thread on the Free Republic called "a day in the life of President Bush" -- with glorious photos!) The Daschle Democrats made wimpy feints at opposition, but ultimately capitulated to his post-9/11 greatness -- on tax cuts, on Medicare, on the war and the Patriot Act...
Well, those days are done.
President Bush, welcome back to earth, where you are just a lame duck politician and the Republicans on the Hill don't have to listen to you.
Howard Fineman takes up the argument, leading with a cute critique of the Bush administration's faltering P.R. machine (never can get enough of this picture:)

Fineman:
You’ve got to hand it to the PR geniuses at the White House. There’s nothing like back-to-back Texas photo ops with Crown Prince Abdullah and Rep. Tom DeLay to give Americans a visceral sense that the Boss is on top of the gas-price situation and desperate to save working folks cash at the pump.
Just kidding, of course. Actually, it’s hard to imagine two political events LESS likely to win the president points. George Bush held hands and pecked cheeks with Abdullah in traditional desert fashion – but the prince gave him the back of his hand on the issue of the moment: oil supply and prices, which the Saudis essentially control. Then the president welcomed the embattled DeLay into his photo space in Galveston. That was no energy-issue coup, either. Until lobbyist Jack Abramoff came into the picture, DeLay’s best-known corporate ties were to corporate titans such as Kenneth Lay of Enron in his home town of Houston.
That Midas touch?
Across a range of issues, and in a number of subtle and not-so-subtle ways, the Bush Administration seems to have lost its touch. Is it losing momentum in a serious and permanent way? Yes, Bush has been down politically before, and recovered smartly. He’s a fighter, and has the ability to ignore the gloom and doom around him. Yes, the Democrats don’t have much of an answer to him other than to shout “no” on a host of issues. Still, despite Republican control of virtually every lever of power in ashington – in a way because of that very fact – Bush finds himself playing defense.
Fineman goes on to spell out the problemas, from Bush's lame national tour and its failure to convince Americans to hand their Social Security money over to Bush's pals on Wall Street, to Bush's failure to put forward a single idea to bring down gas prices, to Bolton and DeLay and on and on. Throw in plummeting consumer confidence, investor optimism and other economic indicators, including declining new home sales in the red-hot Miami market, and you've got the recipe for a dismal second term. Even the rich people are starting to worry...
I remember saying to a few friends before the election that with the economy facing an inevitable downturn due to deficits, war jitters and the Wall Street and real estate bubbles, maybe the presidency wasn't worth having this time. At the time, it was a way to try and live with the prospect of four more years of Dubya. Now it seems damned near prescient. |
posted by JReid @ 4:32 PM   |
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| Tuesday, April 26, 2005 |
| Losing their religion? |
With all that they've won in recent years, you'd think the American right would be in a constant state of triumph. Instead, they appear to be coming apart at the seems. After the Terri Schiavo fiasco, which laid bare for the rest of us 1) the agenda of their fanatical religious core and 2) the nakedness with which their politicians are willing to exploit #1, the schism between scheming politicians and the sincerely radical people they purport to lead has grown, and the marriage of convenience, between neocons, theocons and real conservatives, has hit a rocky patch.
Four issues dominate the current terrain: Judges (which really means abortion), John Bolton (which really means repudiation of the United Nations), illegal immigration (the last thing upon which the current crop of so-called conservatives and actual conservative Lou Dobbs still agree) and Social Security (which I suspect the base cares far less about, but which has become a test of George W. Bush's ability to wield actual and persuasive presidential power.
On Judges, the base appears to be going absolutely apoplectic. Writing on an albeit Canadian online site, Canadafreepress.com, Alan Caruba, founder of an outfit called "The National Anxiety Center" (whose previous passion appears to have been debunking the theory of global warming,) sums up the angst:
A lot of thoughtful conservatives are having serious second thoughts about George W. Bush. His failure to act upon core values of fiscal conservatism and sovereignty is a growing concern. Donations to conservative organizations and think tanks are in sharp decline. A lot of conservatives have decided to stop giving financial support because they are losing faith in the ability of these groups to have any effect on administration policies. Bush has an engaging personality, but he’s not running for office anymore. He is already a very lame duck.
In concert with Republican party leaders in Congress, the White House has been unable to get its judicial appointments approved and the fight over John Bolton’s appointment as UN ambassador suggests the party lacks unity on Capitol Hill. Bolton has been confirmed four times for previous positions. Unless the GOP can unite to overcome the obstructionism of the Democrats, it bodes ill for the party.
If conservatives stay home for the 2006 elections, power can shift to the Democrats. People are increasingly worried about the huge budget deficit created by a President and a Congress that have been on a spending binge. The national debt has increased by $2.16 billion every day since September 30, 2004. It is now a cliché that Bush has not vetoed a single spending bill while in office. New "entitlements" added to Medicare for prescriptions will add still more to the rising tide of national debt. It is not "if" the economy will reach a tipping point this accumulated debt cannot be paid, but when.
Compounding fears is the appearance of an increasingly shaky economy that includes rising inflation and major corporations like General Motors in trouble. Wall Street is experiencing early tremors that forecast a bear market.
An issue reaching critical mass are the illegal immigrants flowing across our southern border. The assertion that they are necessary to do the work that Americans will not is nonsense. With the exception of the agricultural sector that has always depended on migrant workers, there are many jobs American workers would take if they weren’t already being given to undocumented workers paid in cash. Illegal workers sent $20 billion dollars home to Mexico last year!
Caruba goes on to blast the bloated Medicare drugs entitlement, the No Child Left Behind Act, which placed the federal backside firmly on top of local school districts, and the expansion of federally owned land. None of these are unfamiliar complaints, it's just that since Dubya went from bland 49 percenter to Beloved Leader after 9/11, they're complaints we've becom unaccustomed to hearing from Republicans.
The base may not want to hear these gripes seeming to come from Canada, and many folks on the Free Republic thread linked to Caruba's piece wrote him off as a swiper who can't swipe W, and complainers on the thread as moderate woosies and trolls. But some posters on the thread begged to differ, zeroing in on perhaps the two most important issues to two of the most important parts of the base.
Issue 1: Abortion (euphamisms in play -- judges, fillibuster, "people of faith")
To: MikeEdwards: The Republican leadership has managed to alienate both of its wings - a remarkable feat considering the majorities they won across the board a couple of months ago. On this thread so far I've seen conservatives angry about immigration, and conservatives angry about spending policies. These issues are important, but they were never the reason my wing voted for the Republicans for all these 30 years. Pro-lifers have been unified on just one thing: protecting life. We understood long ago that this meant getting Republican majorities to change the composition of the courts, and for pro-life judges to reverse Roe v. Wade. That's always been the strategy, and come last November, we were crowned with success. And that very DAY, Arlen Specter - new head of the Senate Judiciary Committee - stood up and warned the President not to press a "radical" slate of judges who would overturn Roe. The Republican Party ignored the howls of pro-lifers. So the pro-lifers took a "wait and see" attitude when Specter was installed. Well, in just the past three weeks we saw the Republican party fail spectacularly and catastrophically on life issues. First there was the Terri Schiavo debacle, in which the Bush boys themselves and Congress and the Republican-controlled courts (Greer: Republican; Justice Kennedy: Republican) all washed their hands of the matter and killed her. And then Frist waffled and thus far has failed to pass the nuclear option, despite thre being 55 Senators. Pro-lifers are not very calculating souls. Most are devout Christians and not very political. They're not going to change parties. What they will do is stay home. And with them gone, the Republican majority will collapse. At this point, all the Republicans can do is pass the nuclear option. That would stanch the bleeding. They have lost trust, but not all of it. If they don't, they are doomed in 2006 and for a long time thereafter. If the pro-lifers leave, many of them will turn back to their private lives and faith and not enter worldly politics again. Republicans are blowing it, and it starts with the failure of both Bushes in the Schiavo case. They showed weakness, and became lame ducks the instant they did. It's too bad. But it is what it is. 41 posted on 04/26/2005 11:42:56 AM PDT by Vicomte13 (Et alors?)
Issue 2: immigration (code for economic worries, jobs) next poster: To: MikeEdwards: that piece absolutely spot on imo.i know it is treasonous, but i am either sitting out 2006 or voting straight libertarian (which means sitting out).probably the same in 2008 the way things are advancing presently.we are up to our eyeballs in illegals working for half wages, in the meantime our taxes, fees, fines and penalties are going up (only for the legals). our hospitals and municipalities are going bankrupt, and we are paying $2.25 a gallon for gas to get to the jobs that we no longer have because they left for china or mexico. in my town there is one empty (for 3 years now) osram facility that went to mexico, and a second closing operations in a year (800 more layoffs). also our hunt memorial hospital, long since bankrupt and currently (imo)the most expensive sparrow nesting site in north america.it will be worse when the dems regain control, but likely the total collapse they will inevitably cause (i'm from massachusetts, i've seen it before) will bring about a new generation of real leaders. if not, we all will have to learn to become landscapers and chimney sweeps for trial lawyers, college professors and other "government" employees. massachusetts been there too... that was the "massachusetts miracle".at present i would not give the gop the steam off of my urine never mind a vote or donation.above is my donation to the gop. 49 posted on 04/26/2005 12:00:02 PM PDT by mmercier
And what are some of the disgruntled Freepers going to do about it?
Donations to conservative organizations and think tanks are in sharp decline. A lot of conservatives have decided to stop giving financial support because they are losing faith in the ability of these groups to have any effect on administration policies. Yep, that describes me. As I responded to Ken Mehlman's latest solitication: Hi Ken, I can't believe you sent this while I'm reading that Stoneless Frist is negiotating with the DemocRATS. Hypocrite? Talk to Frist. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-ews/1391058/posts http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1391054/posts Are we the majority or not? Mitch McConnell said Sunday we have the votes. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1390409/posts VP Cheney has said he'll gladly break a tie. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1384952/posts http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1389219/posts http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1384952/posts What more do we need? Why can't we "git-er-done?" We need to get a pair, grow up and like the MAJORITY we are! I guarantee you if the situation were reversed the DemocRATS would be beating us up so bad our mothers wouldn't recognize us. I truly dislike the DemocRATS and all they stand for. But they got STONES! upchuckAiken, SC PS - 1. Judges 2. Bolton 3. Criminal aliens 4. Social Security
Four issues that MUST be resolved to our benefit. If not, 2006 and 2008 are gonna be total disasters for us. 48 posted on 04/26/2005 11:56:44 AM PDT by upchuck ("If our nation be destroyed, it would be from the judiciary." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
Never thought I'd hear Democrats accused of having "stones," but there we are. The perpetual victims on the right continue to feel victimized by "the system" even when they run the system. They can't blame Democrats for being unable to implement their agenda (Biblical control over the governing philosophy of the United States and sealed borders), so what to do? Who do you blame when your guys are in charge?
My guess is that it probably is still too close to 9/11 for Republicans to confront their cognitive dissonance with Dubya. They will continue to worship him at least as long as the other side continues to loathe him. But Congress is another matter, and we could be looking at payback in 2006 (remember the old term "throw the bums out?")
Whatever happens, it's clear that Republican politicians will not be able to run on abortion fever forever. Abortion is THE Holy Grail of the Christian right, and once it's clear that the RNC is exploiting the Grail, they're toast. Having whipped the Christian right into a frenzy, they can't exactly mollify them comeanother election time with promises that "if we just elect (fill in the blank), Roe is as good as gone."
Fool me once ... |
posted by JReid @ 3:51 PM   |
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| I wanna hold your hand |
News rags that normally love bomb the Bush administration were at pains to sift through their discomfort at the image of their beloved leader strolling through the Crawford underbrush, hand in hand with Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah on Monday. I know it's wrong to gloat, but who can help it? These pictures are as steamy as those US Weekly snaps of Brad and Angelina gettin' saucy in the sub-Saharan!
The NY Post pulls an "Us Weekly" by putting the snoggers on the cover under the headlines "High price of oil":

April 26, 2005 -- WASHINGTON — President Bush yesterday held hands with Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah and took him on a stroll through a field of bluebonnet flowers at his Texas ranch in a pitch to get the Saudis to pump more oil. They embraced and traded air kisses on both cheeks after the prince, clad in flowing robes, arrived nearly 30 minutes late for his second visit to the Bush ranch in Crawford. The president firmly held the hand of his guest, who's in his 80s, and guided the Saudi ruler through the field of blooming bluebonnets as they headed to an office for a few hours of meetings.
"[My] personal relationship with the crown prince is important," Bush told reporters just before Abdullah arrived.
The Chicago Sun Times played it straighter, delving into the cultural meaning of the hand-holding in the second half of their story, cleverly entitled "Bush to Saudis: Give us a hand" and even calling on James Zogby, brother of the pollster:
When Bush and Abdullah held hands walking into their meeting, the gesture prompted questions about two men showing that kind of physical intimacy. Fred Jones, the National Security Council spokesman, said hand-holding is an Arab expression of ''friendship, respect and trust.'' The gesture goes further than a symbol of friendship, according to James Zogby, of the Arab American Institute, a Washington-based Arab civil rights organization. ''The president and Crown Prince Abdullah were also sending a real political message that they are partners and friends and intend to remain that way,'' Zogby said. ''To the Saudi people, the message was that their leader has the respect and support of the American president. And the fact that President Bush confidently took the crown prince's hand and held it all the way into the office said to Americans, 'This is my friend and I am going to walk with him,' " Zogby said.
Not to be outdone, the Freepers invite their readers to caption the lovey-dovey pic. Best shot: "The love that dares not speak its name." Another keeper: "What happens in Crawford stays in Crawford." The alarmist take: "Good grief. They look like a couple of pansies. Why would our president do this?" Great stuff. Who says Freepers aren't funny? Although during the election, this thread would have been pulled immediately, and the poster banned as a troll...
Over the Moonie ...
The Wash Times declines to describe the passionate hand holding, but does present an ode to that wonderful conservative birds and bees maxim: true love waits:
CRAWFORD, Texas -- President Bush yesterday pressed Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Abdullah to increase the flow of crude oil from his nation's vast reserves, but failed during their meeting to win any short-term relief for Americans pummeled by sky-high gasoline prices. Instead, Bush administration officials, including Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and National Security Adviser Stephen J. Hadley, touted long-range plans already offered by the Saudis to increase capacity and production by several million barrels per day by the end of the decade.
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A joint statement by the two leaders reflected continued tensions over the issue of democratic change, but did not criticize Saudi Arabia's poor human rights record.
It said: "The United States considers that nations will create institutions that reflect the history, culture and traditions of their societies; it does not seek to impose its own style of government on the government and people of Saudi Arabia."
Ah, love in the springtime, when a boy finds his prince! |
posted by JReid @ 12:46 PM   |
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| Monday, April 25, 2005 |
| Carrot, stick, whatever... |
What have we learned from the Bush administration so far this week?
First: Holding hands with Crown Prince Abdullah down on the ranch while pleading for more crude production won't get oil prices down:
"There is no shortage of crude oil," said Adel Aljubeir, foreign affairs advisor to Prince Abdullah. " . . . It would not make a difference if we put an extra 1.5 to 2 million barrels of oil on the market." The price hikes, he said, are a result of a confluence of factors, including: increased demand, limited refinery capacity, a lack of spare production capacity and the fear permeating the market because of the ongoing violence in Iraq. Some oil policy experts agreed there is relatively little Saudi Arabia can do in the short run to lower oil prices. The country is producing about 9.5 million barrels of oil a day -- close to its nearly 11 million-barrel capacity.
Second: hard-lining Venezuela is about as effective at chest thumping in Cuba's general direction, only Venezuela's Hugo Chavez is sitting on 15 percent of our oil diet... (That means Venezuela, like Saudi Arabia (and for that matter, Russia), holds a whip hand over the U.S. economy, by virtue of the same black gold that built the Bush family fortune.)
American officials, who had chosen to ignore Mr. Chávez through much of last year, now recognize the need for a longer-term strategy to deal with a leader who is poised to win a second six-year term in elections next year. A multiagency task force in Washington has been working on shaping a new approach, one that high-ranking American policy makers say would most likely veer toward a harder line. United States support for groups that Chávez supporters say oppose the government has been a source of tension in the past. Under the plans being considered, American officials said, that support may increase.
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"What's happening here is they realize this thing is deteriorating rapidly and it's going to require some more attention," said a high-ranking Republican aide on Capitol Hill who works on Latin America policy. "The current look-the-other-way policy is not working."The United States, he said, is particularly concerned because Venezuela is one of four top providers of foreign oil to the United States. "You can't write him off," the aide said of Mr. Chávez. "He's sitting on an energy source that's critical to us."
A main problem for the United States is that Washington has little, if any, influence over Caracas. The high price of oil has left Venezuela with no need for the loans or other aid that the United States could use as leverage. Nor does the Bush administration have much support in Latin America, where left-leaning leaders now govern two-thirds of the continent. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is expected to raise concerns about Venezuela in a four-country tour through the region this week. Political analysts say she will have a hard time finding support. Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld, on a recent trip to Brazil, publicly raised concerns about Mr. Chávez. Days later, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil, in a meeting in Venezuela with Mr. Chávez and the leaders of Colombia and Argentina, pointedly said, "We don't accept defamation and insinuations against a compañero," meaning a close friend.
Bottom line: the Bush administration appears to have friends only where they are useless to us, and no friends where we badly need them. |
posted by JReid @ 11:45 PM   |
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| The hand that rocks the cradle |
Two pictures capture the essence of my frustration today. In the first, a trio of police officers drag a 5-year-old's hands behind her back, handcuff her, arrest her, and take her to the police station. All for "tearing papers off a bulletin board" and allegedly hitting a teacher. If this is the new response to a toddler's temper tantrum, we're in bigger trouble than I thought. That said, raise your hand if you think the same scenario would have gone down in ole' St. Pete if the 5-year-old, like the teacher and assistant principal, had been white...

Picture number two shows Our Man Dubya holding hands (in the traditional Arab style) and walking with his buddy, Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia. "Bandar Bush" brought his play brother to the Crawford ranch to beg the Kingdom to produce more oil. If the best the president of the United States can do to stave off an impending energy crisis in the country he perportedly runs (along with being the "leader of the free world") is to canoodle a foreign dictatorship for crude, we're in far more trouble than I thought.
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posted by JReid @ 3:31 PM   |
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| Drip ... drip ... drip |
The latest bad news on would-be U.N. ambassador John Bolton comes from all the way across the pond, where British Foreign Secrtary Jack Straw is said to have complained in late 2003 to his then counterpart Collin Powell, about Bolton, who was Powell's deputy in charge of arms control. The British apparently were so bugged by Bolton and his overwrought negotiating position on Iran, that they convinced the American government to freeze Bolton out of the negotiations that ultimately led to the U.S. arms deal with Libya.
Newsweek reported, in its May 2 edition, that British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw complained about Bolton to then-U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell in November 2003. Citing a "former Bush administration official who was there," Newsweek said Straw told Powell that Bolton -- Powell's undersecretary for arms control and international security -- was making it impossible to reach an agreement on Iran's nuclear program.
According to the official, Newsweek reports, Powell then turned to an aide and said, "Get a different view on [the Iranian problem]. Bolton is being too tough." Newsweek said British officials "at the highest level" persuaded the White House to keep Bolton off the negotiating team that ultimately convinced Libya to give up its nuclear program. Bolton was unwilling to support a compromise under which the United States would drop its goal of regime change in favor of "policy change" in exchange for Libya's disarmament, the magazine reported.
...hang on, wasn't Bolton's supposed masterminding of the deal to get Libya's Khaddafi to give up his WMD supposed to be a central justification for making him U.N. ambassador? Awaiting a word on that from Rich Lowry and the other guys at National Review who've been making that case on the talk show circuit (the NRO boys are currently in full mouth froth over Powell's hand in the unraveling Bolton nomination). Even without the Newsweek revelations, other analysts have expressed serious doubts that Bolton had any hand in Libya's change of heart. Arms Control Wonk linked to a particularly scathing one in March.
How much longer can Bolton hang on? Well, he's a tough guy -- a kiss-up, kick-down sort of bloke. Maybe he can chase a few Senate aides around the cloakroom, hurling obscenities and see what happens...
By the way, if Bolton and his boss (the president) are doing such great gravy on saving the world from weapons of mass destruction, why is the Bush administration considering going to the U.N. with a plan to effectively quarantine North Korea? And we're not doing much better on Iran.
If Mr. Mustache is supposed to be judged on the basis of how we're doing on proliferation, his nomination isn't worth a warm bucket of spit.
Random, uncsolicited advice:
Just a thought: Maybe the president should throw the world (and the Dems) a real curveball and nominate his father as Bolton's replacement. The elder Bush would sail through confirmation, the switch would seize the cable headlines for a couple of days and push Bolton, and maybe even DeLay, off center stage for a minute, and papa's got direct job experience, having held the post before (plus credibility in the Arab world, where he makes oh so much cash, that Dubya couldn't buy with the help of all his daddy's friends and benefactors). Of course, the looneys on the hard right hate Bush 41's guts... but hey, Dubya doesn't have to run for reelection, so who cares? |
posted by JReid @ 12:25 AM   |
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| Saturday, April 23, 2005 |
| Maybe God is trying to tell you something... |
| Bush's Earth Day speech rained out... |
posted by JReid @ 3:32 PM   |
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| Anger management, II |
The NYT runs with newly released emails that point to the depth and breadth of animosity would-be U.N. ambassador John Bolton felt for his staff at State, and for intelligence analysts not willing to go along with his rabid conspiracy theories about Cuba's supposed WMD.
None of the dozens of messages reviewed by The New York Times were from Mr. Bolton. But the correspondence, spanning a period from February to September 2002, included e-mail sent to Mr. Bolton by his principal assistant, Frederick Fleitz, as well as extensive exchanges between Mr. Fleitz and Christian P. Westermann, the State Department's top expert on biological weapons who clashed sharply with Mr. Bolton over Cuba. The messages included a Sept. 25, 2002 note in which Thomas Fingar, the No. 2 official in the State Department intelligence branch, deplored what he said had been the toll inflicted on Mr. Westermann by Mr. Bolton and Mr. Fleitz.
"I am dismayed and disgusted that unwarranted personal attacks are affecting you in this way," Mr. Fingar said in a message sent to Mr. Westermann. Two days earlier, in another message, Mr. Westermann wrote to Mr. Fingar to say that "personal attacks, harassment and impugning of my integrity" by Mr. Bolton and Mr. Fleitz were "now affecting my work, my health and dedication to public service." The correspondence provided to the Senate committee also includes a Feb. 12 message sent to Mr. Bolton by Mr. Fleitz, who disparages what he calls the "already cleared (wimpy) language on Cuba" that Mr. Westermann had recommended be used by Mr. Bolton in his planned speech. It made clear that Mr. Westermann had proposed language that reiterated existing, consensus assessments by American intelligence agencies, rather than the stronger assertions that Mr. Bolton had been pressing to make about possible efforts by Cuba to obtain biological weapons, which Mr. Bolton contended were borne out by some highly classified intelligence reports.
"I explained to Christian that it was a political judgment as to how to interpret this data, and the I.C. should do as we asked and sanitize my language as long as sources and methods are not compromised," Mr. Fleitz wrote to Mr. Bolton, referring to the intelligence community. Mr. Fleitz said of Mr. Westermann, "He strongly disagrees with us."
Drip, drip, drip. Bolton's nomination really seems to be circling the drain. Only question is, who will pull the plug? The Republicans on the Senate Foreign Relations committee, the White House, or Bolton himself... |
posted by JReid @ 3:16 PM   |
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| That 70's show |
George W. Bush may like to think of himself as FDR (complete with the God-ordained right to "revamp" FDR's signature program, Social Security), but I'm starting to think he's more like Jimmy Carter. No, not the humanitarian, Nobel winning post-presidential Carter, but the in-office, ineffective foreign policy-having, stagflation-bedeviled Carter. Case in point:
Murmurs of stagflation hint at challenge for Fed: Slowing growth, rising prices offer faint echo of 1970s |
posted by JReid @ 3:11 PM   |
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| Friday, April 22, 2005 |
| Blowback |
| The guy who wrote the TIME Magazine puff piece on Ann Coulter hits back at his critics. Crib notes version: it's not a puff piece, damnit! And my critics are jerks... Still, gotta love that TIME cover! Coulter looks like she should be starring in "The Ring III"! |
posted by JReid @ 1:58 PM   |
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| Anger management |
 Republicans can parse this story a million ways, slam Republican opponents of the nomination as hypocritical no-shows and traitors from dusk 'til dawn, but they can't escape the quickly solidifying, collective picture of one John Bolton, U.N. ambassador nominee: he is a bully, an anti-diplomat, and an ambarassment to whatever agency is fool enough to have him.
Newsweek (eventually leeched by CBS News) nails Bolton on, not just his bad temper, but on his possible misstatements to the Senate Foreign Relations committee regarding the supposed attaboys he testified to receiving from George W. Bush's ambassador to South Korea after delivering a 2003 speech to the Heritage Foundation dissing North Korea as a "hellish nightmare" led by a "blud sucker" who incidentally is also "human scum."
Bolton testified that then-ambassador Thomas Hubbard both approved and high-fived the speech. Hubbard begs to differ, and has gone to the committee with his version, which could spell trouble for our fair nominee (lying to the committee is not a good way to win the support of wavering Senators).
Worse, former Monica stain-chaser Michael Isikoff and pardner Mark Hosenball detail serious allegations against Bolton that go well beyond his apparently odious personality and management style:
...Congressional Democrats are also pressing the administration for a more detailed explanation of why Bolton requested unedited intelligence intercepts from the National Security Agency which included the names of American government officials. According to a letter that the State Department sent this week to Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd, one of Bolton's most vocal critics, over the past four years Bolton on 10 occasions requested that NSA supply him with unedited intercepts that included U.S. officials’ names. Under normal procedures, NSA, which is severely restricted from spying on Americans, is required by its own rules to edit out the names of any American citizens who are mentioned in intercepts the agency collects from its vast international network which eavesdrops on international communications and breaks foreign government codes.
Bolton opponents have speculated that Bolton might have sought the unedited NSA intercepts so that he could use them to try and promote his policy positions in the administration and undermine the positions of officials who opposed him. Administration and Congressional sources tell NEWSWEEK, however, that the State Department and NSA over the last few days have reviewed their records and discovered that since 2001, State Department officials made an estimated 400 requests for intercepts which included the names of Americans or citizens of other countries which are NSA's partners in its international eavesdropping network, which include Great Britain, Canada and Australia.
Bolton's supporters argue that his 10 requests for such material over the last four years therefore are insignificant. Bolton's critics say that they cannot tell whether or not Bolton's requests for the information were significant until they have some sense of the content of the unedited intercepts Bolton had requested.
That last allegation, that Bolton may have sought to obtain the names of American officials in order to lobby or undermine them, seems serious enough on its own to raise questions about whether this man would ever be trusted by his U.N. colleagues were he to head to New York. His history of bullying, intelligence bending and undiplomatic blustering have already made it doubtful he would be either liked, respected, or readily believed... And this helps U.S. foreign policy how???
And of course, this saga wouldn't be complete without a bit of White House chicanery:
Congressional investigators are also pressing the State Department to release extensive e-mail exchanges between Bolton, his aides, and the State Department and CIA officials that Bolton tangled with regarding Cuban WMD. Before Bolton's initial confirmation hearing earlier this month, the State Department sent the Foreign Relations Committee a sheaf of relevant e-mails which appeared to be unclassified. But the Department later sent another set of the same material covered by a classified cover-sheet, leading some Bolton opponents to suggest the administration was trying to re-classify formerly non-secret information to avoid public embarrassment to Bolton.
Congressional sources say that the administration has now relented and de-classified part of the material, but Bolton's critics who are pressing for further de-classifications expect some of the documentation to be made public later this week. The only question at this point seems to be, how much more public embarrassment are Bolton, the White House, and their die-hards in the press and in "the base" willing to put up with before they Bernie Kerik this guy? |
posted by JReid @ 12:37 AM   |
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| Thursday, April 21, 2005 |
| McCainerations |
Update to my previous post about the slippery nature of John McCain. Here's a lively paragraph tucked into Friday's Washington Post piece about Colin Powell's quiet influence in the Bolton drama:
The White House also helped organize Republicans to speak out in favor of Bolton yesterday. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) said on the Senate floor that Bolton's temper should not disqualify him. "I believe John Bolton could provide the medicine the United Nations needs," he said. Again I ask: Democrats are you still in love? |
posted by JReid @ 11:41 PM   |
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| Excellence in broadcasting |
Rush Limbaugh on why John Bolton is the right man for the U.N. -- and why the U.N. is the wrong organization to protect America's national security. Note to Rush: the United Nations is not responsible for protecting Americas securi... oh, never mind, here's the quote:
You know who is killing themselves on this, and it's not going to be readily apparent because you're not going to see polls on it and you're not going to see man on the street and woman on the street interviews out in the red states, but the people in this country who were watching this are going to understand that we got hit on 9/11. The UN is totally incapable of protecting us and protecting anybody else. It's nothing but a corrupt institution as currently constituted. We need some hardball at the UN. We need some hardball in the area of national defense. We need some people who are going to kick butt and take names later. We need some people who are not going to subject the defense of this country to a bunch of wacko diplomats at the United Nations, most of whom are not interested in our own security in the first place. The status quo libs want to maintain a corrupt institution because it is opposed to America just as they are opposed to America when George Bush is president, and that's what this is all about.
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posted by JReid @ 3:56 PM   |
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| Spine check |
With the Bolton nomination in much more trouble than the White House or the Republican Party expected, the focus is sharpening on the four wavering Republican Senators: Chaffee (RI), Hagel (Nebraska), Chairman Lugar (In) and George Voinovich of Ohio, who surprised many when he joined Lugar in seeking to delay a vote on the Eddie Haskel of American government.
It's only a matter of time before the pressure on these four mounts, from the Vice President's office (Dick Cheney is Bolton's chief sponsor, in addition to being the actual president of the United States...), from GOP leg-breakers in the leadership, from the right-wing press and from the third-party goon squad that polices Republican behavior via the Internet.
The first salvo came from the Wall Street Journal's editorial page (also on OpinionJournal.com) yesterday, when Voinovich got a working over on his allegedly Boltonesque behavior aboard an airline in 1996:
Gov. Short Fuse blew on Oct. 20 when federal rules delayed his plane's takeoff as the president arrived in Columbus. As it often does when the president flies, the FAA issued a Temporary Flight Restriction, commonly referred to as a no-fly order. When this order is in effect, no planes other than essential aircraft are cleared for takeoff. That reduces the chances of a terrorist staging a kamikaze attack on Air Force One. The order kept the governor and his plane on the ground. And he was honked. Gov. Voinovich called it "bull"-something and ordered his pilot to break the rules and take off. He even dared the control tower to "shoot us down." That, too, would have cost. One hour of flying time for an F-15 Eagle fighter jet runs $3,399 to $4,037.
In addition to being irrelevant (one burst of temper when Voinovich was governor of Ohio versus Bolton's apparent serial abuse of subordinates hardly qualifies as "apples to apples"), the implication of the article is clear: expect the pressure on the wavering Republicans to be intense, and intensely personal.
The second salvo comes in the form of a new ad from the winger 527 group Move America Forward in which Voinovich is called "disloyal" and a "traitor to the Republican Party."
If we are to take the WSJ at face value, Voinovich appears to have moxie enough to withstand the pressure, and I have no doubt that Chuck Hagel (my favorite Republican, I must confess) has the guts to stand up to the administration, but I'm not so sure about Lincoln Chafee, who needed others to come forward before he had the intestinal fortitude to voice his own doubts about Bolton. Chafee needs the WH and GOP to stand down any potential primary challenges, not to mention the coming DNC pressure cooker in 2006. Yes, he is a target, along with Santorum and our old buddy Tom DeLay.
...And you thought the silly season hadn't yet begun... |
posted by JReid @ 10:34 AM   |
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| Still in love with McCain? |
Personally, I lost my religion on John McCain a long time ago. After his defeat in the 1999/2000 primary, McCain -- the supposed "Maverick" who continues to receive the full Monica from the press, pivoted instantly from Bush-hating, wounded 'Vet to Bush toady. He spends more time retreating from his supposed piques at Bush, including smirking and shuffling his way around questions of why Bush dissed him early in his first term by skipping the usual signing ceremony for the McCain-Feingold (-Shays-Meehan) campaign finance reform Act, and then signing it on the down-low without McCain present, and worse, why the Bush campaign went after McCain's war record and his family during the 2000 South Carolina primary. I guess all is forgiven in politics.
Since those bitter days, McCain has graduated from Bush tolerator to full-on Bush booster, including serving as the AWOL flyboy's wing man during the 2004 campaign.
Why does he do it? First, because John McCain isn't a "maverick," as so many hopeful Democrats (who pined for him to join John Kerry's presidential ticket last year) and media suck-ups want to believe. He's a politician. He loves the limelight, loves the press plaudits, and loves the power. And these days, the way to get the power he craves is to be President Bush's best friend. So McCain will deviate from the White House when he has to (as on the nuclear option and other issues on which he sides with Democrats). But he will never fully leave him, and certainly wouldn't think of dissing him to the media.
Bottom line: John McCain is running for president in 2008 and could use the support of Bush's base. If you want a Maverick, Chuck Hagel is about the closest you're going to get. For the most part, however, the Senate is the wrong place to look. |
posted by JReid @ 10:19 AM   |
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| Bolton nomination in peril? |
It once seemed that the WH and its Congressional henchmen would fight to the death to have John Bolton's nomination as U.N. ambassador sent to the full Senate. Now that's not so certain, and if you believe the reporting, Bolton's nomination looks to be in real trouble now...
Of course, it all depends on how stiff the spines of three Senators are: Rhode Island's Chaffee (he's not exactly been a profile in courage on this nomination), reliably independent-minded Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, and George Voinovich of Ohio, who jumped ship with Foreign Relations chairman Richard Lugar to stall a vote on Bolton's nomination.
Says the NYT:
The nomination appears to hang on what emerges on several points. One is whether the Senate panel substantiates accusations from a former contract worker on an Agency for International Development project that Mr. Bolton, as a private lawyer hired by her employer, tried to intimidate her in 1994. A co-worker has corroborated some of the charges made by the former contract worker, Melody Townsel, while the president of the company has challenged some of her claims. A second point involves documents sought by the committee from the State Department and the Central Intelligence Agency, to clarify conflicting accounts about Mr. Bolton's role in several matters, including his attempts while working as an under secretary of state to seek the transfer of several employees, and his requests for identifying information about American officials who were mentioned in or participated in conversations intercepted by the National Security Agency. He addressed some of these issues in his public
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