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| Think at your own risk. |
| Wednesday, May 10, 2006 |
| The Third World Order |
A US oil worker has been killed in Nigeria...
Among all their other problems, the Palestinians are now facing a debt and fuel crisis (though at least the E.U. and U.S. have reversed their outrageous position on aid to the Palestinian people)...
And the U.S. won't be getting a U.N. resolution against Iran, at least not for now (the Chapter 7 thing, with its use of force clause, was just not going to fly with the Russians and Chinese). So the next gambit is to offer "carrots" -- help with Iran's development of a peaceful nuclear energy program. BTW, I agree with the various analyses which say Iran isn't interested in wiping Israel out (rhetoric or none, and despite the increasingly hysterical pronouncements out of Tel Aviv). They are a pragmatic country, soon to launch their own oil bourse (on the Euro, ominously, given what happened when Iraq tried the same thing), and very much interested in selling oil. Why would they transfer nuclear weapons, even if they had them, to a terrorist group for use in the U.S. when they surely know that the signature would lead right back to them, and lead the U.S. (or Israel, if they were the target) to blow Iran to kingdom come? The argument that Iran would attack the U.S. via a terrorist group, when the world knows full well of their terrorist links, or attack Israel, which could nuke them today -- and probably wants to -- seems to me to be illogical. Iran wants to be a regional and world power. You get to be a power by controlling a major exchange (hence, the bourse, plus their five percent of the world's oil market), by manipulating regional events (i.e., in Iraq) and by having the ability to deter your major enemies (i.e., the Israelis, who, by the way, spend as much time threatening to invade or strike their neighbors as they do fielding threats, and who are nuked to the hilt, without being members of the NNPT regime).
In my opinion, the worst case scenario isn't Iran getting a nuclear deterrent against the Israelis. It's the U.S. nuking Iran, further radicalizing the population there, exploding the region into furious revenge-seeking, collapse any hope of pulling Iraq together, split the West, East and near-East, sink the Blair government, and touch off a tactical nuclear armaments race among countries who would then have learned that 1) nuclear weapons are a plausable weapon for use in conventional war after all, and 2) if you don't want the Americans to nuke you, better get some nuclear bombs of your own.
And here's yet another idea you might want to wrap your mind around as we watch Condi and Mr. Moustache work their magic on the Security Council. It's courtesy of Free Market News:
In the background of the political joust about Iran, a few countries are reshaping the world. They are taking possession of the global nuclear fuel market. New IAEA regulations should keep newcomers away. The US, UK, France, Germany, Russia, China and Japan will become world's nuclear filling stations. Under the auspices of the IAEA these suppliers will dictate the rules, the prices and the currencies they want to get paid in. Iran has become the pretext and test case for their plans. The problems of tomorrow's world economy are being shaped today. ...
You'll want to read the whole thing.
Tags: Iran, Middle East, Africa, nukes, Palestinians, Foreign policy, |
posted by JReid @ 3:57 PM   |
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Tell a friend
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