I still think Dems are being a little bit too optimistic about November, but MyDD has the latest on what looks like a general Democratic trend going into the midterms: - Minnesota: Klobuchar (D) 51%--40% Kennedy (R)
- Washington: Cantwell (D) 50%--41% McGavick (R)
- Pennsylvania: Casey (D) 48%--39% Santorum (R)
- Maryland: Cardin (D) 47%--40% Steele (R)
- Montana: Tester (D) 49%--43% Burns (R)
- Rhode Island: Whitehouse (D) 46%--40% Chafee (R)
- Ohio: Brown (D) 47%--42% DeWine (R). Note: this average reflects the new Survey USA poll on the race.
- New Jersey: Menendez (D) 45%--41% Kean (R)
- Tennessee: Ford (D) 47%--44% Corker (R)
- Missouri: McCaskill (D) 46%--44% Talent (R). Note: this average reflects the new Survey USA poll on the race.
- Virginia: Allen (R) 48%--42% Webb (D)
- Arizona: Kyl (R) 49%--40% Pederson (D)
- Connecticut: Lieberman (CfL) 50%--39% Lamont (D)
More to the point, I'm not sure the trend is so much Democratic as it is anti-incumbent. Perhaps, for a change, voters are thinking strategically, and deciding to change control of Congress, regardless of how they feel about their local pol. We'll see. And because these are midterms, the voters who participate tend to be more likely voters, larger numbers of committed "super voters" and in this year in particular, pissed off, super-motivated grassroots progressives. I think it goes without saying that progressives are feeling more motivated than fundies this year. Tags: Politics, Elections, Chris Shays, Ted Kennedy, Republicans, Connecticut, Government, Congress, 2006 |
