Reidblog [The Reid Report blog]

Think at your own risk.
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Tuesday, February 13, 2007
The boy who cried 'nucular'
Here's how it will work. President Bush will continue to insist that Iran is funneling weapons and money to Iraqi militias who are in turn, killing American troops, but that, aw shucks, he doesn't have ANY intention of starting another war... But he will ratchet up the rhetoric, and the tactical provocations, like detaining Iranian officials in Iraq, hoping to trigger an overreaction by Tehran. Then he will make a sober sounding speech to the nation, stating that by his authorization, U.S. troops have been forced to retaliate against these outrageous acts, "in the name of peace." We will be at war with Iran, and nobody will have had the opportunity to stop it -- not Congress, not the American people.

Get the picture?

Here's the problem.

#1. Nobody believes the Bushies anymore. Not even the British.

#2. Bush's own Joint Chiefs of Staff chair have already shot holes in their Iran "evidence."

#3. Iran doesn't appear to be playing along. So far, they have been only slightly bad-ass, but mostly they're holding their powder.

#4. We are the ones who facilitated the new relationship between Iraq, Iran (and Syria) ... by invading Iraq. So in a way, we and Iran are on the same side in Iraq.

#5. The entire Middle East region is imploding, starting with Iraq, but increasingly including Lebanon, something which strengthens Syria, which further strengthens Iran, because those two countries are seen as uniquely able to get their arms around the chaos, in a way we clearly cannot. A military confrontation with Iran could have disastrous consequences for the region, and could suck the United States into a quaqmire that would make Iraq look like a walk in the park. And this time, there will be no "coalition."

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posted by JReid @ 8:01 AM  


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