John Edwards leads a statistical three-way tie between himself, Hillary and Barack in Iowa, and Romney appears to beat back the Huckamob in that state ... maybe. These and other results render Iowa officially too close to call just days ahead of the caucuses.
Via CNN:
MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon
Likely Democratic Caucus Goers'
Choice for President
John Edwards 24 percent
Hillary Clinton 23 percent
Barack Obama 22 percent
Bill Richardson 12 percent
Joe Biden 8 percent
Chris Dodd 2 percent
Dennis Kucinich 1 percent
MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon
Likely Republican Caucus Goers'
Choice for President
Mitt Romney 27 percent
Mike Huckabee 23 percent
Fred Thompson 14 percent
John McCain 13 percent
Rudy Giuliani 5 percent
Ron Paul 5 percent
Duncan Hunter 1 percent
Sampling error for both polls: plus or minus 5 percentage points
I say if it snows heavily, Edwards wins (his union supporters are about the only ones you can count on to trudge out in waist deep snow) and Obama is hurt most (his supporters are the most enthusiastic, but also the most green, and young -- both predictors of unreliability). I'd bet Hillary comes in second to either Barack or Edwards, but that prediction, like everything else about Iowa, is subject to change...
Labels: 2008 election, Iowa, news and politics, presidential candidates |
