Reidblog [The Reid Report blog]

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Saturday, January 12, 2008
Who's the most polarizing?
Drudge is up with an advance on a CNN poll that if Drudge has it right, says some interesting things about Americans' attitudes. Wanna guess who the most polarizing candidate in the race is?
CNN/OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION POLL
January 9-10
REGISTERED VOTERS
Would Definitely Vote Against That Candidate in November

Romney 62%
Giuliani 55%
Huckabee 52%
Clinton 43%
McCain 43%
Obama 38%

Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts
Wow. Americans really have a problem with the magic underpants! And who do you suppose has the most committed support? Think women...
CNN/OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION POLL
January 9-10
REGISTERED VOTERS
Would Definitely Vote For That Candidate in November

Clinton 37%
Obama 30%
McCain 22%
Giuliani 19%
Huckabee 15%
Romney 13%

Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts

Very interesting.

More detail on the results for poll junkies like me:
CNN/OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION POLL
January 9-10 (
Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts)
Registered Voters' Intentions If Clinton Wins the Nomination

Definitely vote for 37%
Consider voting for 19%
Definitely vote against 43%

Registered Voters' Intentions If Obama Wins the Nomination

Definitely vote for 30%
Consider voting for 32%
Definitely vote against 38%

Registered Voters' Intentions If McCain Wins the Nomination

Definitely vote for 22%
Consider voting for 35%
Definitely vote against 43%

Registered Voters' Intentions If Giuliani Wins the Nomination

Definitely vote for 19%
Consider voting for 25%
Definitely vote against 55%

Registered Voters' Intentions If Huckabee Wins the Nomination

Definitely vote for 15%
Consider voting for 31%
Definitely vote against 52%

Registered Voters' Intentions If Romney Wins the Nomination

Definitely vote for 13%
Consider voting for 25%
Definitely vote against 62%

Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts


If these numbers are to be believed, Barack Obama is the least polarizing candidate, and he and McCain merithttp://www.blogger.com/img/gl.link.gif the highest consideration. But Hillary has the most committed support, probably because the survey had a large sample of women.

Interesting stuff...

Also, a pollster friend of mine pointed out rightly that Clinton was leading in all of the tracking polls going into New Hampshire, right up until the end. And my pollster friend provided this useful link to the great poll decoding site going: pollster.com.

Update: CNN.com spins the poll in McCain's favor. The media still loves him!

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posted by JReid @ 11:09 PM  


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