Reidblog [The Reid Report blog]

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Sunday, February 03, 2008
More importantly...
The Tuesday calendar is huge -- 22 states, 2000 delegates, and a closing gap between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Here's the calendar:

State or Entity ↓ Type ↓ District Level
Delegates ↓		 At-Large
Delegates ↓		 PLEO
Delegates ↓		 Pledged
Delegates ↓		 Unpledged
Delegates ↓		 Voting Delegation
Size ↓
Alabama primary 34 11 7 52 8 60
Alaska caucus 8 3 2 13 5 18
American Samoa primary
3
3 10 13
Arizona primary 37 12 7 56 11 67
Arkansas[26] primary 22 8 5 35 12 47
California[27] primary 241 81 48 370 71 441
Colorado[28] caucus 36 12 5 55 16 71
Connecticut[18] primary 33 11 6 48 13 61
Delaware primary 10 3 2 15 8 23
Democrats Abroad primary
6 1 7 4 11
Georgia[29] primary 57 19 11 87 17 104
Idaho[30] caucus 12 4 2 18 5 23
Illinois primary 100 33 20 153 32 185
Kansas caucus 21 7 4 32 8 40
Massachusetts primary 61 20 12 93 28 121
Minnesota[18] caucus 47 16 9 72 16 88
Missouri primary 47 16 9 72 16 88
New Jersey primary 70 23 14 107 20 127
New Mexico caucus 17 6 6 26 12 38
New York[31] primary 151 51 30 232 48 280
North Dakota caucus 8 3 2 13 8 21
Oklahoma primary 25 8 5 38 9 47
Tennessee primary 44 15 9 68 17 85
Utah primary 15 5 3 23 6 29

And here's the polling averages so far, courtesy of USAelections.com:

StateDateHCBOJEBRDK
California1/25-2/13634---
New York1/31-2/15234---
Massachusetts1/305733---
Georgia1/30-2/14147---
Illinois1/29-312455---
Alabama1/314641---
Minnesota1/18-27403312--
Tennessee1/304935---
New Jersey1/30-2/14639---
Arizona1/30-2/14341---
Connecticut1/30-314835---
Oklahoma1/27-30411724--
Colorado1/21-23323417--
Utah2/11/073118911
Missouri1/30-2/14741---
New Mexico9/5/07178844-
Arkansas12/14/075717141-
Delaware1/31-2/14442---
Idaho7/12/07313315--

(Click on the states for detail)

So it's:

Advantage Clinton:

New York
Massachusetts (this could change due to Ted and Caroline Kennedy plus the MA governor)
Minnesota
Tennessee
Connecticut
Oklahoma
Utah
Arkansas

Advantage Obama:

Georgia
Illinois

Toss-ups:

California
Colorado (definitely leaning Obama)
Alabama
Arizona
Missouri
New Mexico
Delaware
Idaho

Labels: , , , ,

posted by JReid @ 12:49 PM  

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