Reidblog [The Reid Report blog]

Think at your own risk.
Friday, February 15, 2008
New polls (yee-haw!)
From USAElectionPolls.com:

The races are tightening (and yeah, Mike Huckabee is still bedeviling Baghdad Johnny, even from the Caymans. All-right!)

First, the Dems:

Democratic Candidate TX TX TX
Pollster ARG Rass TCUL
Date 2/13-14 2/14 2/11-13
Barack Obama 48% 38% 41%
Hillary Clinton 42% 54% 49%
Other(vol.) 10% 9% 10%
Details Link Link Link

That ARG poll is either a Zogbyesque outlier, or a new reason for Hilary to drink... heavily ...

And now, the Repubs:

Republican Candidate TX TX TX
Pollster ARG Rass TCUL
Date 2/13-14 2/14 2/11-13
John McCain 42% 45% 44%
Mike Huckabee 36% 37% 41%
Ron Paul 11% 7% 6%
Other(vol.) 11% 11% 8%
Details Link Link Link

Question: how is Mike Huckabee in such high double digits long after this race is supposedly other? And shouldn't John-boy be cracking 50 percent in any poll, in any state, at this stage? Sounds like some little party doesn't dig it's nominee...

A bit more on that ARG poll:
Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among self-described Democrats 47% to 42%. Obama leads Clinton among self-described independents and Republicans 24% to 71%. Obama leads among men 55% to 29% (47% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads among women 54% to 42%. Clinton leads Obama among white voters 51% to 40% (53% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 76% to 17% (22% of likely Democratic primary voters), and Clinton leads Obama among Latino voters 44% to 42%.

22% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 20% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. 30% of men say they would never vote for Clinton in the primary.
Those internals look about right, although I wouldn't bet money on that large Obama lead...

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posted by JReid @ 4:48 PM  
ReidBlog: The Obama Interview
Listen now:


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