Reidblog [The Reid Report blog]

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Monday, February 25, 2008
Poll update
A new New York Times/CBS News poll shows Barack Obama's support continuing to ascend the celestial plain (sorry, Hillary...) and it reveals some troubling trends for Hillary...

Her support among men has cratered, according to this poll, dropping from 42% in December to 28% at the end of February. Barack's, meanwhile, has climbed from 26% to 67%.

Hillary is holding steady with women - 46% then and now, but Barack has caught up to her, climbing from 27% of Democratic women to 45% from December to February.

Barack is preferred by Democratic voters overall, and by a wide margin (54% to 38%). In December, Hillary led that question 44% to 27%).

And the poll shows his support climbing among blue collar voters ($50K and under households) and self-described moderates.

Meanwhile, a new set of polls shows Hillary hanging onto a shrinking lead in Ohio but appearing to lose her lead in Texas. Not a good sign for a campaign that needs to win both states handily. Worse, the polls closed on February 24th (Sunday) -- before news of her rather shrieky weekend rants and Obama in Muslim garb gambit sunk into the public zeitgeist. I would guess those antics will cut against Hillary, at the same time Barack's NAFTA flyers will begin having an impact in Ohio.

The ARG polls (first and last columns) which are looking better and better after they nailed Wisconsin, show Barack pulling ahead in Texas, and Hillary maintaining about a 10 point edge in Ohio (again, pre-rant):

Democratic Candidate TX OH OH OH
Pollster ARG Qpac UOH ARG
Date 2/23-24 2/18-23 2/21-24 2/23-24
Hillary Clinton 42% 51% 47% 49%
Barack Obama 50% 40% 39% 39%
John Edwards - - 9% -
Other(vol.) 8% 10% 6% 12%
Details Link Link Link Link

Meanwhile in Dallas, the Lozada family remembers the officer tragically killed on his motorcycle while escorting the Clinton campaign.

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posted by JReid @ 11:37 PM  


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