| If it wasn't ARG, I frankly wouldn't believe it:
Pennsylvania polls:
| Democrats | Mar 7-8 | Mar 26-27 | Apr 5-6 |
| Clinton | 52% | 51% | 45% |
| Obama | 41% | 39% | 45% |
| Someone else | 1% | 2% | 4% |
| Undecided | 6% | 8% | 6% |
The trends, according to ARG, are as follows: Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 53% to 36% among men (46% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, Clinton leads 52% to 39%.
Clinton leads 52% to 36% among white voters (80% of likely Democratic primary voters). Obama leads 89% to 9% among African American voters (16% of likely Democratic primary voters).
Obama leads 52% to 38% among voters age 18 to 49 (52% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads 52% to 38% among voters age 50 and older.
27% of all likely Democratic primary voters and 41% of likely Democratic primary voters age 18 to 49 say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 25% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. In Indiana, ARG has Clinton up 53% to 44% with just 2 percent undecided, and the polling firm gives Obama the edge in North Carolina, 51% to 38% with 7% undecided. Pretty stunning stuff, given that Hillary must win Pennsylvania to keep the media at bay (winning it has no impact on her electoral prospects, and she and everybody in the press corps knows it.) Not only that, but Hillary has to fight to keep the superdelegate dam from breaking over the next couple of weeks leading up to the PA primary, lest a march to the Obama camp further diminish her stature and appearance of viability, and along with it, her chances of winning upcoming races. Related: Salon ponders Obama's state of suspended animation, unlikely to be vanquished by Hillary, and yet unable to finish her off. Labels: 2008 election, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Pennsyvania, polls, presidential candidates |
