The latest polls:
General election matchups:
| | Obama | McCain | Undecided/Other | | Gallup DTP (6/21) | 46% | 44% | 11% | | Newsweek (6/18-19) | 51% | 36% | 13% | | USAT/Gallup (6/15-19) | 50% | 44% | -- | | ABC/WaPo (6/21) | 48% | 42% | 10% | | FOX/Opinion Dyn (6/17-18) | 45% | 41% | 14% |
And while I usually don't pay much attention to Fox polls, this one has one interesting statistic:
Obama 42%
McCain 39%
Bob Barr 2%
Nader 4%
Undecided 14%
Meaning that the independent candidates take about 3 points from Obama, 2 points from McCain and nothing from undecided.
Republicans appear to be genuinely worried about Barr, much more so than Dems are paying attention to Ralph Whats-his-name. Especially after a June 18 Insider Advantage poll showed Barr narrowing McCain's Georgia margin to the lowest possible single digit:
McCain: 44%
Obama: 43%
Barr: 6%
Undecided: 7%
The pollsters point out that Barr's main strength is also McCain's: senior voters. Uh-oh...
One more piece of polling interest, from the WaPo pol:Voters were asked, regardless of who they support, which candidate:
Is the stronger leader?
Obama: 46%
McCain: 46%
(McCain had a 4 point advantage in May)
Would do more to bring needed change to Washington?
Obama: 60%
McCain: 22%
Better represents your own personal value?
Obama: 51%
McCain: 38%
Better understands the problems of people like you?
Obama: 53%
McCain: 35%
Would do more to stand up to lobbyists and special interest groups?
Obama: 51%
McCain: 36%
So much for Pat Buchanan's "what's wrong with this guy?" routine...
Voters were also asked who they trust more on a variety of issues. Here's how the two candidates scored:
Obama was trusted more on:
- the economy (52/36)
- women's issues (58/26)
- gas prices (50/30)
- global warming/environmental issues (55/28)
- taxes (48/40)
- healthcare (53/33)
- energy (51/36)
- appointments to the Supreme Court (45/53)
McCain was trusted more on:
- international affairs (49/43)
- the war in Iraq (47/46) -- a statistical tie
- the "U.S. campaign against terrorism" (53/39 -- McCain's only big lead)
| Labels: 2008 election, Barack Obama, John McCain, polls, presidential candidates |
