Quinnipiac shows Obama up 9 points over McCain:
Obama - 50
McCain - 41
And Obama's fate will be determined by one thing: turnout...
Independent voters split 44 - 44 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Sen. McCain has a slight 47 - 44 percent edge among men voters and a larger 49 - 42 percent lead among white voters.
But black voters back Sen. Obama 94 - 1 percent, while women support him 55 - 36 percent. Obama leads 63 - 31 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 48 - 44 percent among voters 35 to 54, while voters over 55 split with 45 percent for McCain and 44 percent for Obama.
The Democrat gets 44 percent to the Republican's 47 percent in red states, which went Republican by more than 5 percent in 2004, and leads 50 - 39 percent in purple or swing states.
"Sen. Barack Obama's national lead is solid - but it's not monolithic," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"His support in the black community is about as close to unanimous as you can get. Politicians say that the only uncertainty will be turnout. Sen. John McCain leads among white voters. Meanwhile, Newsweek finds alarming numbers of voters who think Obama is a Muslim. Consider the responses to Question #16:
16. As I read you some statements about Barack Obama, please tell me if each one is TRUE or FALSE, to the best of your knowledge. (First/Next)... (INSERT ITEM—READ AND RANDOMIZE). (As far as you know) is this true or false?
BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
| True | False | DK |
|
a. Obama used a Koran for swearing into the U.S.
Senate | 12 | 49 | 39=100 |
b. Obama attended an Islamic school in Indonesia
during his youth | 39 | 23 | 38 | =100 |
| c. Obama was raised as a Muslim | 26 | 51 | 23 | =100 |
| d. Obama is a practicing Muslim today | 12 | 69 | 19 | =100 |
NET—Think one or more of these statements is true 52
| Labels: 2008 election, Barack Obama, John McCain, polls, presidential candidates |
