From the WaPo today, proof that outside the evangelical base, there is no Palin effect. It's still the economy, stupid.
The presidential race between John McCain and Barack Obama in four key battleground states remains remarkably stable despite a month of politically significant developments, with the Illinois senator running ahead of or even with his Republican rival according to polling conducted by Quinnipiac University for washingtonpost.com and the Wall Street Journal.
In Colorado, Obama takes 49 percent to 45 percent for McCain while in Michigan Obama stands at 48 percent as compared to 44 percent for McCain. The contest in Minnesota, once considered a lock for Obama, is also quite close with Obama at 47 percent and McCain 45 percent. Only in Wisconsin does Obama have an edge -- 49 percent to 42 percent -- outside the statistical margin of error for the poll.
Those results are remarkably similar to data from July Quinnipiac polls in each of the four states and suggest that despite the massive media coverage surrounding the two parties' national nominating conventions as well as the vice presidential selections -- especially that of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, which many presumed would alter the campaign's dynamic -- little has changed in the race for the White House.
Obama won't lose a single Kerry state. Bank on it. And he will pick up New Mexico and Iowa. That leaves his task as the following: get Nevada, Florida, Virginia or Ohio. If he grabs one of those, and picks up New Hampshire, it's over. Tick, tick...
Labels: 2008 election, Barack Obama, polls, presidential candidates |
