A new Quinnipiac poll has bad news for Republicans, and emoprogs.
The poll finds that Americans like Barack Obama personally, though they disapprove overall of his handling of the economy. They trust the president more than they do Republicans on issues of taxation and deficits. Oh, and the emo “progressives” are all wrong about his supposedly losing support from the left.
Obama is metza-metza with a 47/46 on overall approval, but he is rocking a 71 percent personal approval rating. Even Republicans like the president personally, by a margin of 49%/32%.
More importantly, Obama’s approval rating among the demographic groups he carried in 2008 are incredibly stable.
His favorability with Democrats is 81%/11%, with Blacks 83%/8%, with women 50%/41%, with liberals 77%/17, with Hispanics 57%/36%, 18-34 year olds 58%/34%, union households 53%/41%, college educated people 50%/40% and moderates 57%/35%. I guess Jane Hamsher is going to have to cuss out a lot of Americans.
Obama’s weak spots are where you’d expect them to be, based on how things shook out in 2008. He’s underwater with independents 45/53%, men 43%/51%, whites 40%/53%, 35-44 year olds 44%/49%, 55+ registered voters 45%/48% (which is essentially a tie, and very good movement for the president with seniors, probably based on the contrast with Paul Ryan and the GOP’s vouchercare plans)… Catholics 41%/53%, and non-college educated people 45%/47% (the latter also being pretty good numbers for a Democratic president in a weak economy.)
I leave off the obvious ones, Republicans, evangelicals, conservatives, who are about where you’d figure.
Also important, Obama is winning the question of what to do on debt and deficits, and he’s winning the popularity contest with Republicans, past and present.
His 47%/46 approval rating is far better than that of Democrats (64%/28%) or Republicans (65%/26%), and though most of those surveyed are sour on his handling of the economy, more voters blame former President George W. Bush for the economic mess we’re in (54%) than blame Obama (27%), even 60 percent of the way through his term. That shows a persistence to voters’ memory about how we got here, even amid flagging confidence in what this president is doing about it.
To the debt ceiling debate:
Obama outscores congressional Republicans on several points in the deficit reduction battle:
- Voters will blame Republicans over Obama 48 – 34 percent if the debt limit is not raised;
- Voters say 67 – 25 percent that an agreement to raise the debt ceiling should include tax hikes for the wealthy and corporations, not just spending cuts;
- Voters say 45 – 37 percent that Obama’s proposals to raise revenues are “closing loopholes,” rather than “tax hikes”;
- But voters say 57 – 30 percent that Obama’s proposals will impact the middle class, not just the wealthy.
“The American people aren’t very happy about their leaders, but President Barack Obama is viewed as the best of the worst, especially when it comes to the economy,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute.
And there’s this, which again reinforces the fact that D.C. Republicans are vastly overestimating the salience of the debt and deficits issue (as is the Beltway media):
By a 62 – 32 percent margin, American voters say it’s more important to reduce unemployment than to reduce the federal budget deficit. But they say 49 – 43 percent it’s more important to reduce unemployment than to reduce government spending.
The pollsters also asked about other policy and social issues:
Voters say 55 – 39 percent that the U.S. should not be fighting in Afghanistan, although they approve 75 – 19 percent of Obama’s decision to begin withdrawing troops. The U.S. should not be involved in Libya, voters say 56 – 32 percent.
American voters are divided on whether they would support a law to legalize same-sex marriage in their state, with 46 percent in support and 48 percent opposed. Voters under 35 years old support same-sex marriage 57 – 36 percent, while voters 35 to 54 years old split 49 – 46 percent and voters over 55 years old are opposed 56 – 38 percent. White Catholics support same- sex marriage 56 – 38 percent while white Protestants are opposed 61 – 34 percent.
The poll was taken July 5 – 11 and included 2,311 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points.
Read the full Quinnipiac poll here.
Meanwhile, here’s that Gallup generic ballot poll that Princella Smith talked up on MSNBC today, with all its many caveats. You’ve got to love how Gallup (typically one of the most conservative leaning polls) compares Obama two years out, with the approval ratings of Presidents Bush I and II in their re-election years. At least Gallup acknowledges that their number, based on a three-day rolling average (Obama was at 46%/46% percent for two days, then dropped on day three), is virtually meaningless at this point, and generic candidate polls are never particularly meaningful, since voters tend to need an actual person to compare the incumbent to. But I’ll give it to Princella, the poll exists.
And here’s the Real Clear Politics average the president is rocking right now (excluding the new Quinnipiac numbers):