Five questions for Tuesday

Occupy Wall Street etc. isn't going away.

Tuesday is the day Occupy Wall Street marches on Rupert Murdoch and Jamie Dimon (boy is Dimon gonna be even MORE whiney now…) Here are five other things to think about.

1. What will Brown do next? Scott Brown is going to lose in Massachusetts. He’s being out-fundraised by Elizabeth Warren, who now has a genuine, solid following among liberal Democrats, and women. Brown’s crack on her looks pretty much ensures he’s done as far as women voters, and the Occupy movement doesn’t bode well for a guy who is the darling of Wall Street honchos (and votes that way, too.) So the question: what will Brown’s next job be? Good bet: Goldman Sachs. Second choice: Chippendales.

2. Will the Senate AJA vote be a bust, or a bust with benefits? The Hill’s whip count doesn’t look promising, but Harry Reid could have something up his sleeve with Tuesday’s vote – or at least the White House has got to hope he does. Best case scenario for Team Obama: the bill clears the Senate but can’t get passed the millionaires in the House. Second best: the bill can’t get past the millionaires in the Senate, either. In either case: the White House can use the failure to further flog the “do-nothing Congress.”

3. Who would win an “evil-off” between Karl Rove and David Koch? Ok, that question was just for fun. The real question is: can the Republican Party’s corporate funding machine survive the Occupy PR onslaught, or will anything that smells like big money be toxic for the candidate it’s connected to? I’ve said before that losing the love of Wall Street donors is the best thing to happen to Barack Obama in a while, especially now. And with Starbucks’ CEO leading a “do not fund campaigns” charge, how will big business make itself felt in 2012 without further alienating middle America (most of whom support the Occupy movement?)

4. Do people tell the truth when then tell pollsters they’d vote for a Mormon, even if they are evangelicals? Short answer: no. They don’t. The Mormon thing will matter.

5. Will the Wisconsin recall the governor effort help tip Wisconsin back into the Obama column? If it succeeds, the effort could be a sign that labor organizing isn’t dead. If it fails, Wisconsin is going to be a very, very tough go for the president’s re-election.

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One Response to Five questions for Tuesday

  1. Andrew says:

    Having spent some time in Boston and Cambridge, cities I still miss deeply, I believe your assessment of the Warren race is spot on. Also it does not matter how much more than the minimum 5 million she raises – or doesn’t, the Unions, especially SEIU are NOT going to be out organized this time and are able to shift costs over to their side of the ledger. You know that seldom in the world of electoral politics do you get a do over. Mass got a gift in the Warren “Consumer Protection Lady” who also makes great YouTube videos. They just have to Occupy it and Let. Black. People. Speak. – just sayin’

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