Reidblog [The Reid Report blog]

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Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Tag! Vanity Fair mocks the New Yorker
Says snarky Marc Ambinder:
The jocks of the glossy magazine world have spoofed the nerds. Conde Nast's Vanity Fair has posted a mock cover showing Sen. John McCain dapping his wife Cindy, who cradles a armful of prescription drug bottles. A portrait of George W. Bush hands in the background of their fictional "house." McCain is shown resting on a walker.
BTW, Ambinder also points out that the VF jocks apparently ripped off the New York Daily News. Compare for yourself:


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posted by JReid @ 11:59 PM  
Monday, July 21, 2008
Did the Obama camp pay back the New Yorker?
New Yorker writer Ryan Lizza's failure to get a seat on the Obama plane to the Middle East and Europe is being read as a direct snub, and as payback for a certain cartoon cover. If that's true, it's not a good look for Team Obama. The decision probably originates at a press level below Communications Director Bill Burton, knowing how campaigns work. Still, Burton should clean this up. It's an unnecessary distraction to have a story like this appear on the homepage of the Guardian a few days before Obama lands in Britain.

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posted by JReid @ 4:32 PM  
Friday, July 18, 2008
Campaign swings (and misses)
Swift Boat hatchet man Bud Day has another whoopsie on behalf of Camp McCain. He said the following on a campaign conference call:
The Muslims have said either we kneel or they're going to kill us... I don't intend to kneel and I don't advocate to anybody that we kneel, and John doesn't advocate to anybody that we kneel.
Yes ... right ... that'll do, Bud... that'll do...

Meanwhile, can the MSM manipulate poll data to make the presidential race look like a horse race? Yes they can!

Perhaps they're doing it to soothe poor neocon Charles Krauthammer, who, excuse my French, has gone all bitchy and whiny on us in his latest, desperate Obama rant. Take this, Krauthammer!


There, how's that. All better, I bet...

Meanwhile, the GOP once again goes after the Obama who isn't running for president, this time, in Washington State, as the RNC shrugs, calling the attacks on Michell fair game. Team Obama fires back, at John McCain. I wonder: would it be considered fair game to run an ad citing Cindy McCain's contribution to making stolen pill-popping popular among middle aged women? Brit Hume has something to say about that (in perfect, ungarbled English...):
Senator Obama is blaming the news media — and especially FOX News — for Michelle Obama's high negative ratings. Just under 30 percent of those polled had an unfavorable view of Michelle Obama in our last FOX News/Opinion Dynamics poll. A Rasmussen Reports poll last month put her unfavorable rating at 42 percent.

Obama tells Glamour magazine that political spouses should be off-limits. He says the "conservative press — FOX News... went fairly deliberately at her in a pretty systematic way... spouses are civilians. They didn't sign up for this."

Though Obama failed to mention it, his wife has made a number of official campaign stops with him and has even campaigned for him on her own.

Obama then added, "If you start being subjected to rants by Sean Hannity and the like, day in day out, that'll drive up your negatives."

The world's media laughs at John McCain, who will be thoroughly shunned as all the major networks caravan behind Barack Obama on his upcoming overseas tour. Foreign leaders are being careful not to look to cozy with Obama, though since George W. Bush has already begun implementing much of his foreign policy, he's kind of already president... Meanwhile the McCain compaign carries out a preempting oppo research strike. Politico has Obama's meeting list. Brit Hume has something to say about that, too:

On his upcoming overseas trip, Barack Obama will be met along the way by the anchors of the three network evening newscasts. About 200 other journalists have also asked to join Obama during his trip.

But Howard Kurtz of The Washington Post reports that John McCain has taken three foreign trips in the past four months — all unaccompanied by a single network anchor and with little fanfare. The Tyndall Report, which monitors news coverage, says that since June the nightly newscasts on the three networks spent a combined 114 minutes covering Obama while devoting just 48 minutes to McCain.

Hume and Kurtz fail to mention that the McCain camp never made the ask of the networks. Don't hate on Team Obama because they were sharp enough to do so ...

Over at Market Watch, a lone voice sticks up for the New Yorker.
The magazine is sticking its finger in the eye of every bigot who hates the Obamas because they're African-Americans, every racist who seeks to polarize the electorate and every ignoramus who mistrusts the senator from Illinois without examining his record and background.

Something else is going on here as well. This criticism centers on conservatives' strong dislike -- "hatred" is such a nasty word, no? -- of both Obama and the New Yorker, two of the most visible and successful symbols of liberal America. While there was also carping in some liberal quarters, the most vocal anger seemed to come from the other side.

The liberals' opponents are jumping on the bandwagon partly in the hope of making the New Yorker look bad (i.e. unpatriotic). The magazine has written many stories blasting the Bush administration's policies, especially its handling of Iraq.
Last but not least, pollster John Zogby isn't content to sock it to the McCain campaign with shock polls showing Obama winning in pretty much every swing state except Florida. Now, he plays the veepstakes, and contemplates the unthinkable: a double-brotha ticket:
If Obama were to choose Powell, 42% of likely voters nationwide said it would make them more likely to support the Democratic candidate - as did 42% of Democrats and 43% of political independents. The Zogby International telephone poll of 1,039 likely voters nationwide was conducted July 9-13, 2008, and asked respondents how the selection of certain vice presidential candidates would affect their likelihood to vote for the two leading presidential candidates. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.
Watch right wing heads exploding everywhere... oh God, there go some Democratic head explosions in West Virginia! Zogby provides the doubters with a helpful table:

Likelihood to vote for Barack Obama if he chooses ... as his Vice President


Likely Voters

Democrats

Independents


More Likely

Less Likely

More Likely

Less Likely

More Likely

Less Likely

Colin Powell

42%

10%

42%

12%

43%

9%

Hillary Clinton

30%

25%

47%

15%

33%

26%

Bill Richardson

15%

10%

9%

13%

12%

9%

Joe Biden

11%

16%

6%

22%

11%

13%

Kathleen Sebelius

7%

11%

10%

11%

7%

9%

Tim Kaine

7%

11%

8%

10%

8%

8%

Evan Bayh

6%

12%

9%

9%

7%

9%










What? Not much help from "Bayh Bayh Bayh"? Meanqhile, the pollster says McCain's best bets are Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee. Now I think that Romney will ultimately be the running mate (supporting evidence here), no matter how much Mac may still secretly hate his guts, but me thinks the pollster doth miss name recognition too much. Not that name recog doesn't count in a veep selection. Just sayin. I doubt that the respondents to the poll really sat down and thought about the idea of TWO black men running together for president.

Anyway, just to be fair, here's the GOP chart:

Likelihood to vote for John McCain if he chooses ... as his Vice President


Likely Voters

Republicans

Independents


More Likely

Less Likely

More Likely

Less Likely

More Likely

Less Likely

Mike Huckabee

27%

13%

40%

11%

29%

14%

Mitt Romney

26%

11%

41%

8%

30%

13%

Joe Lieberman

20%

17%

26%

16%

20%

22%

Charlie Crist

5%

10%

8%

12%

5%

9%

Bobby Jindal

5%

9%

7%

9%

6%

9%

Tim Pawlenty

3%

8%

3%

5%

1%

7%

Mark Sanford

3%

9%

3%

9%

2%

10%















And would ya look at Miss Charlie, getting 5 percent!
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posted by JReid @ 1:45 PM  
Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Poll: Majority of WorldNetDaily readers are dumb
Media Matters has made much of a WorldNetDaily poll that shows that 6 in 10 WorldNetDaily.com readers believe that the New Yorker magazine cover cartoon depicting the Obama's as terrorist wannabes "isn't too far from the dangerous truth about the Obamas." (Another 12 percent said the poll is "funny, because there's some truth in it." The poll results so far, with just over 3100 votes:

The image isn't too far from the dangerous truth about the Obama family59% (1866)
Funny, because there's some truth in it12% (391)
Hilarious, it's perfect satire7% (218)
It will do what it's designed to do: sell magazines7% (215)
The image will only add to the massive publicity Obama receives while McCain remains in the shadows6% (195)
Tasteless and offensive3% (97)
This is character assassination, literally and figuratively1% (42)
Other1% (34)
It's obvious the New Yorker wants Obama to win1% (26)
Everyone should boycott the New Yorker over this huge insult1% (25)
There's no such thing as bad publicity1% (22)
This is probably a joke and is not intended to hit newsstands0% (12)
It's obvious the New Yorker wants McCain to win0% (5)

That certainly confirms the fears in some media quarters that the New Yorker cover will be read as satire, only by the intelligent. And then there's that one in ten Americans who still say they believe Barack Obama is a Muslim. My guess is that they say that, or really think they believe it, because "Muslim" is their consciences' way of saying "nigger" without having to use the word out loud. Just my theory. I'd guess there's not much you can do with anyone who actually reads WorldNetDaily, and thankfully, there are more normal people, who have accepted the country's entrance into the 21st century, than there are Harriet Christian throwbacks in America.

Still, I do believe that the 8-10 percent gap between the generic Democrat performance against a generic Republican and Obama's single-digit poll lead is mostly attributable to white respondents who can't bring themselves to support a black candidate, but who aren't necessarily going to admit as much to a pollster. Obama has to hope that those voters don't become the deciders in older demographic, blue collar states like Pennsylvania, Florida and Michigan.

Meanwhile, the cartoonist defends himself. My article about the flap, which includes interviews with Industry Ears media watchdog Paul Porter and political science guru Dr. Ronald Walters, hits newsstands on Thursday.

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posted by JReid @ 1:50 PM  
Monday, July 14, 2008
Industry watchdog slams New Yorker cover
Entertainment industry watchdog IndustryEars joins the firefight over the New Yorker's Obama cartoon cover. The following statement hit the email this morning:
The July 21st, cover of "The New Yorker Magazine" featuring Barack and Michelle Obama is both tasteless and insensitive. Plans will be announced for a national boycott of the New Yorker Magazine. Advertisers, newsstands and stores that carry the New Yorker Magazine are being notified of our nationwide boycott.

Democrats, Republicans and American's find this so called 'satire"as divisive an inflammatory.
The group, which is led by former BET host turned anti-defamation crusader Paul Porter, along with an organization called Project Islamic H.O.P.E, run by activist Najee Ali, will hold a press conference to announce their plans on Wednesday at noon.

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posted by JReid @ 12:43 PM  
Sunday, June 29, 2008
Sunday best
My four must-reads for today:

Sy Hersh has a new article about the Bush administration's stepped-up covert operations against Iran:

L ate last year, Congress agreed to a request from President Bush to fund a major escalation of covert operations against Iran, according to current and former military, intelligence, and congressional sources. These operations, for which the President sought up to four hundred million dollars, were described in a Presidential Finding signed by Bush, and are designed to destabilize the country’s religious leadership. The covert activities involve support of the minority Ahwazi Arab and Baluchi groups and other dissident organizations. They also include gathering intelligence about Iran’s suspected nuclear-weapons program.

Clandestine operations against Iran are not new. United States Special Operations Forces have been conducting cross-border operations from southern Iraq, with Presidential authorization, since last year. These have included seizing members of Al Quds, the commando arm of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, and taking them to Iraq for interrogation, and the pursuit of “high-value targets” in the President’s war on terror, who may be captured or killed. But the scale and the scope of the operations in Iran, which involve the Central Intelligence Agency and the Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC), have now been significantly expanded, according to the current and former officials. Many of these activities are not specified in the new Finding, and some congressional leaders have had serious questions about their nature.

Under federal law, a Presidential Finding, which is highly classified, must be issued when a covert intelligence operation gets under way and, at a minimum, must be made known to Democratic and Republican leaders in the House and the Senate and to the ranking members of their respective intelligence committees—the so-called Gang of Eight. Money for the operation can then be reprogrammed from previous appropriations, as needed, by the relevant congressional committees, which also can be briefed.

The Washington Post takes a fascinating look at the economic up-trends and down-trends for two states; Virginia and West Virginia, and plumbs the ramifications for Democrats and Republicans:

... "Democratic areas are sopping up people with BA degrees; Republican areas are sopping up white people without degrees. Church membership is declining in Democratic areas and increasing in red counties," said Bill Bishop, author of "The Big Sort." "There are all these things telling people they should be around people like themselves. And every four years, this has political consequences."

Overall, the most wealthy are still more likely to vote for GOP candidates, particularly in red states, where it is the rich, not the working class, who are most reliably Republican. The split is more evident in education and vocation, with professionals and voters with post-graduate degrees trending Democratic.

But in general, where economic dynamism is concentrated, Democrats are gaining. Bishop found that Gore and Kerry did much better in the 21 metro areas that produced the most new patents than in less tech-oriented cities. Virginia Tech demographer Robert E. Lang found that Kerry did better in the 20 metro areas most linked to the global economy -- based on business networks, shipping and airport activity -- than in metro areas as a whole.

Thomas Franks' next book could well be called, "What's the matter with West Virginia..." Also, Frank Rich of the New York Times, wonders who really would benefit if a terror attack were to occur before the election, starting with a deconstruction of McCain's top strategist, Charlie "a terror attack would help us out" Black:
In private, he is surely gaming this out further, George Carlin-style. What would be the optimum timing, from the campaign’s perspective, for this terrorist attack — before or after the convention? Would the attack be most useful if it took place in a red state, blue state or swing state? How much would it “help” if the next assassinated foreign leader had a higher name recognition in American households than Benazir Bhutto?
Rich goes on to critique the "terror = M-c-win" strategery of Karl Rove, saying that should the unthinkable occur:
... voters might take a hard look at the antiterrorism warriors of the McCain campaign (and of a potential McCain administration). This is the band of advisers and surrogates that surfaced to attack Mr. Obama two weeks ago for being “naïve” and “delusional” and guilty of a “Sept. 10th mind-set” after he had the gall to agree with the Supreme Court decision on Gitmo detainees. The McCain team’s track record is hardly sterling. It might make America more vulnerable to terrorist attack, not less, were it in power.

Take — please! — the McCain foreign policy adviser, Randy Scheunemann. He was the executive director of the so-called Committee for the Liberation of Iraq, formed in 2002 (with Mr. McCain on board) to gin up the war that diverted American resources from fighting those who attacked us on 9/11 to invading a nation that did not. Thanks to that strategic blunder, a 2008 Qaeda attack could well originate from Pakistan or Afghanistan, where Osama bin Laden’s progeny, liberated by our liberation of Iraq, have been regrouping ever since. On Friday the Pentagon declared that the Taliban has once more “coalesced into a resilient insurgency.” Attacks in eastern Afghanistan are up 40 percent from this time last year, according to the American commander of NATO forces in the region.

Another dubious McCain terror expert is the former C.I.A. director James Woolsey. He (like Charles Black) was a cheerleader for Ahmad Chalabi, the exiled Iraqi leader who helped promote phony Iraqi W.M.D. intelligence in 2002 and who is persona non grata to American officials in Iraq today because of his ties to Iran. Mr. Woolsey, who accuses Mr. Obama of harboring “extremely dangerous” views on terrorism, has demonstrated his own expertise by supporting crackpot theories linking Iraq to the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing and 1993 World Trade Center bombing. On 9/11 and 9/12 he circulated on the three major networks to float the idea that Saddam rather than bin Laden might have ordered the attacks.

Then there is the McCain camp’s star fearmonger, Rudy Giuliani, who has lately taken to railing about Mr. Obama’s supposed failure to learn the lessons of the first twin towers bombing. The lesson America’s Mayor took away from that 1993 attack was to insist that New York City’s emergency command center be located in the World Trade Center. No less an authority than John Lehman, a 9/11 commission member who also serves on the McCain team, has mocked New York’s pre-9/11 emergency plans as “not worthy of the Boy Scouts.”

If there’s another 9/11, it’s hard to argue that this gang could have prevented it.
"The company you keep" will be a theme this year, and not just for Barack Obama... Back at the WaPo, an article that breaks no news, but which states an obvious conclusion that will have major implications for the campaign: a McCain win could push the Supreme Court to the right. Say it isn't so!

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posted by JReid @ 4:39 PM  
ReidBlog: The Obama Interview
Listen now:


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"I am for enhanced interrogation. I don't believe waterboarding is torture... I'll do it. I'll do it for charity." -- Sean Hannity
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