Reidblog [The Reid Report blog]

Think at your own risk.
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Wednesday, April 04, 2007
$25 million ... 100,000 donors
Barack Obama makes that suspense well worth it. Hillary? Do you hear that knock at the door?
Sen. Barack Obama raised at least $25 million dollars during the first quarter for his presidential campaign, a total surprisingly close to the $26 million collected by his chief rival for the Democratic nomination, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Obama actually may have raised more for the primary campaign than the former first lady, but that cannot be definitively known because the Clinton campaign has refused to say how much of its total is designated for the primary election versus the general election. ...
Wow...

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posted by JReid @ 11:22 AM  
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Monday, April 02, 2007
Rethinking Romney
(Picture courtesy of the The Economist)

It was a given that Hillary was going to raise more money than God ... but who knew Mitt Romney was such a pistol? Romney didn't just win the GOP money primary, he whipped its tail, raising a surprise $23 million -- just $3 million shy of Hillary's mark -- to demolish the Republican field. Rudy "Third Time's the Charm" Giuliani took in around $15 million (he's out there boasting that he can raise $100 million -- and he's telling the media to "lay off his third / hussy/dog-harming wife!", and poor, addled John McCain, who has self-immolated over Iraq, took in just $12.5 million. Meanwhile, a new poll shows that a non-candidate/television actor/former Senator, Fred Thompson, goes from zero to third place among Republican voters, sucking most of his 12% polling numbers from Rudy, who's now down in the 30s, after hovering around 44 percent in USAT/Gallup. The caveat with Romney is that he was an investment banker at one point in his life, and made a lot of big money contacts as head of the U.S. Olympic Committee, and as Chris Matthews just pointed out on Hardball, when you marry Romney's fundraising to his low poll numbers, you get one hell of a high per capita rate (meaning Romney is the candidate of the very rich, and not much more...)

What gives?

There clearly is no Republican front runner right now, and a lot of dissatisfaction is in evidence on the right side of the dial. That leads me to believe that Thompson, despite a stunning lack of substance that even some RedStaters have noticed, as evidenced in this surprisingly lucid post (once you look past the strained attempt not to call Dubya a failed president), could still emerge as a front runner in this rather pitiable field.

On the Dem side, Bill Richardson did better than expected at $6 million, Chris Dodd and Joe Biden should just hang it up, and Edwards did pretty well. The big question is how much did Barack Obama raise, which we'll find out probably tomorrow. The Hillary people are already trying to raise expectations, putting out the buzz that Barack's haul could be as much as $21 million. We'll see.

Meanwhile, here are the latest poll numbers from Florida:


THE NUMBERS - DEMOCRATS

Hillary Clinton 36 percent
Al Gore, 16 percent
Barack Obama 13 percent
John Edwards 11 percent
(all other candidates below 5 percent)

THE NUMBERS - REPUBLICANS

Rudy Giuliani 35 percent
John McCain 15
percent
Newt Gingrich 11 percent
Fred Thompson 6 percent
Mitt Romney 5 percent

Source: Quinnipiac

Hillary and Giuliani are in roughly the same position, while poor Baghdad John is in the shitter, with Newt Gingrich, of all people, trailing him by just 4 percentage points. The Al Gore number is interesting, as Dems still haven't let go of their Gore nostalgia. I maintain that if he ran, he couldn't win, but that's just me. Once Dem voters finally get over it (rent his climate change movie and call it a day, folks...) I think Hillary will put some distance between herself and her competitors, with Obama ticking up a little, too.

RealClearPolitics has more specifics on the GOP polling.


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posted by JReid @ 7:40 PM  
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Tuesday, January 30, 2007
2008
The right moans over their candidate choices...

And Obama reveals more about his racial "complexity."

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posted by JReid @ 10:55 AM  


ReidBlog: The Obama Interview
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